Abstract
Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention is commonly focused on providing individuals at high predicted CVD risk with preventive medication. Whereas CVD risk increases rapidly with age, current risk-based selection of individuals mainly targets the elderly. However, the lifelong (preventable) consequences of CVD events may be larger in younger individuals. The purpose of this paper is to investigate if health benefits from preventive treatment may increase when the selection strategy is further optimised.
Methods: Data from three Dutch cohorts were combined (n=47469, men:women 1:1.92) and classified into subgroups based on age and gender. The Framingham global risk score was used to estimate 10-year CVD risk. The associated lifelong burden of CVD events according to this 10-year CVD risk was expressed as quality-adjusted life years lost. Based on this approach, the additional health benefits from preventive treatment, reducing this 10-year CVD risk, from selecting individuals based on their expected CVD burden rather than their expected CVD risk were estimated. These benefits were expressed as quality-adjusted life years gained over lifetime.
Results: When using the current selection strategy (10% risk threshold), 32% of the individuals were selected for preventive treatment. When the same proportion was selected based on burden, more younger and fewer older individuals would receive treatment. Across all individuals, the gain in quality-adjusted life years was 217 between the two strategies, over a 10-year time horizon. In addition, when combining the strategies 5% extra eligible individuals were selected resulting in a gain of 628 quality-adjusted life years.
Conclusion: Improvement of the selection approach of individuals can help to reduce further the CVD burden. Selecting individuals for preventive treatment based on their expected CVD burden will provide more younger and fewer older individuals with treatment, and will reduce the overall CVD burden.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 642-650 |
| Number of pages | 9 |
| Journal | European journal of preventive cardiology |
| Volume | 25 |
| Issue number | 6 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Apr 2018 |
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Keywords
- UT-Hybrid-D
- Cardiovascular disease
- Prevention
- Public health
- Risk prediction
- Burden of disease
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A new selection method to increase the health benefits of CVD prevention strategies. / Lagerweij, Ghizelda R. (Corresponding Author); de Wit, G. Ardine; Moons, Karel G.M.; van der Schouw, Yvonne T.; Verschuren, W.M. Monique; Dorresteijn, Jannick A.N.; Koffijberg, Hendrik.
In: European journal of preventive cardiology, Vol. 25, No. 6, 04.2018, p. 642-650.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review
TY - JOUR
T1 - A new selection method to increase the health benefits of CVD prevention strategies
AU - Lagerweij, Ghizelda R.
AU - de Wit, G. Ardine
AU - Moons, Karel G.M.
AU - van der Schouw, Yvonne T.
AU - Verschuren, W.M. Monique
AU - Dorresteijn, Jannick A.N.
AU - Koffijberg, Hendrik
N1 - Sage deal
PY - 2018/4
Y1 - 2018/4
N2 - Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention is commonly focused on providing individuals at high predicted CVD risk with preventive medication. Whereas CVD risk increases rapidly with age, current risk-based selection of individuals mainly targets the elderly. However, the lifelong (preventable) consequences of CVD events may be larger in younger individuals. The purpose of this paper is to investigate if health benefits from preventive treatment may increase when the selection strategy is further optimised.Methods: Data from three Dutch cohorts were combined (n=47469, men:women 1:1.92) and classified into subgroups based on age and gender. The Framingham global risk score was used to estimate 10-year CVD risk. The associated lifelong burden of CVD events according to this 10-year CVD risk was expressed as quality-adjusted life years lost. Based on this approach, the additional health benefits from preventive treatment, reducing this 10-year CVD risk, from selecting individuals based on their expected CVD burden rather than their expected CVD risk were estimated. These benefits were expressed as quality-adjusted life years gained over lifetime.Results: When using the current selection strategy (10% risk threshold), 32% of the individuals were selected for preventive treatment. When the same proportion was selected based on burden, more younger and fewer older individuals would receive treatment. Across all individuals, the gain in quality-adjusted life years was 217 between the two strategies, over a 10-year time horizon. In addition, when combining the strategies 5% extra eligible individuals were selected resulting in a gain of 628 quality-adjusted life years.Conclusion: Improvement of the selection approach of individuals can help to reduce further the CVD burden. Selecting individuals for preventive treatment based on their expected CVD burden will provide more younger and fewer older individuals with treatment, and will reduce the overall CVD burden.
AB - Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention is commonly focused on providing individuals at high predicted CVD risk with preventive medication. Whereas CVD risk increases rapidly with age, current risk-based selection of individuals mainly targets the elderly. However, the lifelong (preventable) consequences of CVD events may be larger in younger individuals. The purpose of this paper is to investigate if health benefits from preventive treatment may increase when the selection strategy is further optimised.Methods: Data from three Dutch cohorts were combined (n=47469, men:women 1:1.92) and classified into subgroups based on age and gender. The Framingham global risk score was used to estimate 10-year CVD risk. The associated lifelong burden of CVD events according to this 10-year CVD risk was expressed as quality-adjusted life years lost. Based on this approach, the additional health benefits from preventive treatment, reducing this 10-year CVD risk, from selecting individuals based on their expected CVD burden rather than their expected CVD risk were estimated. These benefits were expressed as quality-adjusted life years gained over lifetime.Results: When using the current selection strategy (10% risk threshold), 32% of the individuals were selected for preventive treatment. When the same proportion was selected based on burden, more younger and fewer older individuals would receive treatment. Across all individuals, the gain in quality-adjusted life years was 217 between the two strategies, over a 10-year time horizon. In addition, when combining the strategies 5% extra eligible individuals were selected resulting in a gain of 628 quality-adjusted life years.Conclusion: Improvement of the selection approach of individuals can help to reduce further the CVD burden. Selecting individuals for preventive treatment based on their expected CVD burden will provide more younger and fewer older individuals with treatment, and will reduce the overall CVD burden.
KW - UT-Hybrid-D
KW - Cardiovascular disease
KW - Prevention
KW - Public health
KW - Risk prediction
KW - Burden of disease
U2 - 10.1177/2047487317752948
DO - 10.1177/2047487317752948
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85053392848
VL - 25
SP - 642
EP - 650
JO - European journal of preventive cardiology
JF - European journal of preventive cardiology
SN - 2047-4873
IS - 6
ER -