TY - JOUR
T1 - A taxonomy of short-term solar power forecasting
T2 - Classifications focused on climatic conditions and input data
AU - Bazionis, Ioannis K.
AU - Kousounadis-Knousen, Markos A.
AU - Georgilakis, Pavlos S.
AU - Shirazi, Elham
AU - Soudris, Dimitrios
AU - Catthoor, Francky
N1 - Funding Information:
This research has been co‐financed by the European Regional Development Fund of the European Union and Greek national funds through the Operational Program Competitiveness, Entrepreneurship and Innovation, under the call RESEARCH—CREATE—INNOVATE (project code:T2EDK‐00864).
Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 The Authors. IET Renewable Power Generation published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Institution of Engineering and Technology.
PY - 2023/7/6
Y1 - 2023/7/6
N2 - A review of the state-of-the-art in short-term Solar Power Forecasting (SPF) methodologies is presented in this paper. Over the last few years, developing and improving solar forecasting models has been the main focus of researchers, considering the need to efficiently increase their forecasting accuracy. Forecasting models aim to be used as an efficient tool to help with the stability and control of energy systems and electricity markets. Intending to further comprehend the factors affecting the quality of SPF models, this paper focuses on short-term solar forecasting methodologies since they pose a crucial role in the daily operation and scheduling of power systems, since they focus on forecasting horizons typically ranging from 1 h to 1 day. The reviewed works are classified according to the climatic conditions, technical characteristics, and the forecasting errors of the different methodologies, providing readers with information over various different cases of SPF. Considering the need to improve the SPF efficiency, such classifications allow for important comparative conclusions to be drawn, depending on the location of each case and the meteorological data available. Future directions in the field of short-term solar power forecasting are proposed considering the increasing development of SPF models’ architecture and their field of focus.
AB - A review of the state-of-the-art in short-term Solar Power Forecasting (SPF) methodologies is presented in this paper. Over the last few years, developing and improving solar forecasting models has been the main focus of researchers, considering the need to efficiently increase their forecasting accuracy. Forecasting models aim to be used as an efficient tool to help with the stability and control of energy systems and electricity markets. Intending to further comprehend the factors affecting the quality of SPF models, this paper focuses on short-term solar forecasting methodologies since they pose a crucial role in the daily operation and scheduling of power systems, since they focus on forecasting horizons typically ranging from 1 h to 1 day. The reviewed works are classified according to the climatic conditions, technical characteristics, and the forecasting errors of the different methodologies, providing readers with information over various different cases of SPF. Considering the need to improve the SPF efficiency, such classifications allow for important comparative conclusions to be drawn, depending on the location of each case and the meteorological data available. Future directions in the field of short-term solar power forecasting are proposed considering the increasing development of SPF models’ architecture and their field of focus.
KW - Power system management
KW - Power system stability
KW - Renewable energy sources
KW - Solar photovoltaic systems
KW - Solar power
U2 - 10.1049/rpg2.12736
DO - 10.1049/rpg2.12736
M3 - Review article
AN - SCOPUS:85161150791
SN - 1752-1416
VL - 17
SP - 2411
EP - 2432
JO - IET Renewable Power Generation
JF - IET Renewable Power Generation
IS - 9
ER -
