Abstract
We consider a change-point test based on the Hill estimator to test for structural changes in the tail index of long memory stochastic volatility time series. In order to determine the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding test statistic, we prove a uniform reduction principle for the tail empirical process in a two-parameter Skorohod space. It is shown that such a process displays a dichotomous behavior according to an interplay between the Hurst parameter, that is, a parameter characterizing the dependence in the data, and the tail index. Our theoretical results are accompanied by simulation studies and an analysis of financial time series with regard to structural changes in the tail index.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 2017-2039 |
| Number of pages | 23 |
| Journal | Statistica sinica |
| Volume | 33 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Jul 2023 |
Keywords
- NLA
- Change-point tests
- Heavy tails
- Long-range dependence
- Stochastic volatility
- Tail empirical process
- Chaining
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Change-point tests for the tail parameter of Long Memory Stochastic Volatility time series
Betken, A., Giraudo, D. & Kulik, R., 4 Jun 2020, ArXiv.org.Research output: Working paper › Preprint › Professional
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