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Change-point tests for the tail parameter of Long Memory Stochastic Volatility time series

  • Annika Betken
  • , Davide Giraudo*
  • , Rafał Kulik
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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Abstract

We consider a change-point test based on the Hill estimator to test for structural changes in the tail index of long memory stochastic volatility time series. In order to determine the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding test statistic, we prove a uniform reduction principle for the tail empirical process in a two-parameter Skorohod space. It is shown that such a process displays a dichotomous behavior according to an interplay between the Hurst parameter, that is, a parameter characterizing the dependence in the data, and the tail index. Our theoretical results are accompanied by simulation studies and an analysis of financial time series with regard to structural changes in the tail index.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2017-2039
Number of pages23
JournalStatistica sinica
Volume33
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2023

Keywords

  • NLA
  • Change-point tests
  • Heavy tails
  • Long-range dependence
  • Stochastic volatility
  • Tail empirical process
  • Chaining

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