Climate vulnerability mapping: A systematic review and future prospects

Alex De Sherbinin (Corresponding Author), Anamaria Bukvic, G. Rohat, Mellanie Gall, Brent McCusker, Benjamin Preston, Alex Apotsos, Carolyn Fish, Stefan Kienberger, Park Muhonda, Olga Wilhelmi, Denis Macharia, William Shubert, R.V. Sliuzas, Brian Tomaszewski, Sainan Zhang

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Maps synthesizing climate, biophysical and socioeconomic data have become part ofthe standard tool-kit for communicating the risks of climate change to society. Vulnerability maps are used to direct attention to geographic areas where impacts on society are expected to be greatest and that may therefore require adaptation interventions. Under the Green Climate Fund and other bilateral climate adaptation funding mechanisms, donors are investing billions of dollars of adaptation funds, often with guidance from modeling results, visualized and communicated through maps and spatial decision sup- port tools. This paper presents the results of a systematic review of 84 studies that map social vulnerability to climate impacts. These assessments are compiled by interdisciplin- ary teams ofresearchers, span many regions, range in scale from local to global, and vary in terms of frameworks, data, methods, and thematic foci. The goal is to identify com- mon approaches to mapping, evaluate their strengths and limitations, and offer recom- mendations and future directions for the field. The systematic review finds some convergence around common frameworks developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, frequent use of linear index aggregation, and common approaches to the selection and use of climate and socioeconomic data. Further, it identifies limitations such as a lack of future climate and socioeconomic projections in many studies, insuffi- cient characterization of uncertainty, challenges in map validation, and insufficient engagement with policy audiences for those studies that purport to be policy relevant. Finally, it provides recommendations for addressing the identified shortcomings.
Original languageEnglish
Article numbere600
Number of pages23
JournalWiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change
Volume10
Issue number5
Early online date15 Jul 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sep 2019

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future prospect
vulnerability
climate
climate change
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
climate effect
aggregation
dollar
projection
funding
uncertainty
lack
modeling
socioeconomics
society
policy
recommendation

Keywords

  • Ultrasound
  • Social vulnerability
  • spatial indices,
  • meta-analysis,
  • mapping
  • climate change
  • ITC-ISI-JOURNAL-ARTICLE
  • adaptation

Cite this

De Sherbinin, A., Bukvic, A., Rohat, G., Gall, M., McCusker, B., Preston, B., ... Zhang, S. (2019). Climate vulnerability mapping: A systematic review and future prospects. Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change, 10(5), [e600]. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.600
De Sherbinin, Alex ; Bukvic, Anamaria ; Rohat, G. ; Gall, Mellanie ; McCusker, Brent ; Preston, Benjamin ; Apotsos, Alex ; Fish, Carolyn ; Kienberger, Stefan ; Muhonda, Park ; Wilhelmi, Olga ; Macharia, Denis ; Shubert, William ; Sliuzas, R.V. ; Tomaszewski, Brian ; Zhang, Sainan. / Climate vulnerability mapping : A systematic review and future prospects. In: Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change. 2019 ; Vol. 10, No. 5.
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abstract = "Maps synthesizing climate, biophysical and socioeconomic data have become part ofthe standard tool-kit for communicating the risks of climate change to society. Vulnerability maps are used to direct attention to geographic areas where impacts on society are expected to be greatest and that may therefore require adaptation interventions. Under the Green Climate Fund and other bilateral climate adaptation funding mechanisms, donors are investing billions of dollars of adaptation funds, often with guidance from modeling results, visualized and communicated through maps and spatial decision sup- port tools. This paper presents the results of a systematic review of 84 studies that map social vulnerability to climate impacts. These assessments are compiled by interdisciplin- ary teams ofresearchers, span many regions, range in scale from local to global, and vary in terms of frameworks, data, methods, and thematic foci. The goal is to identify com- mon approaches to mapping, evaluate their strengths and limitations, and offer recom- mendations and future directions for the field. The systematic review finds some convergence around common frameworks developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, frequent use of linear index aggregation, and common approaches to the selection and use of climate and socioeconomic data. Further, it identifies limitations such as a lack of future climate and socioeconomic projections in many studies, insuffi- cient characterization of uncertainty, challenges in map validation, and insufficient engagement with policy audiences for those studies that purport to be policy relevant. Finally, it provides recommendations for addressing the identified shortcomings.",
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note = "Wiley deal This work was supported by the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC) under funding received from the National Science Foundation DBI-1639145. Lead author de Sherbinin would like to acknowledge support under NASA contract NNG13HQ04C for the continued operation of the Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC).",
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De Sherbinin, A, Bukvic, A, Rohat, G, Gall, M, McCusker, B, Preston, B, Apotsos, A, Fish, C, Kienberger, S, Muhonda, P, Wilhelmi, O, Macharia, D, Shubert, W, Sliuzas, RV, Tomaszewski, B & Zhang, S 2019, 'Climate vulnerability mapping: A systematic review and future prospects' Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change, vol. 10, no. 5, e600. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.600

Climate vulnerability mapping : A systematic review and future prospects. / De Sherbinin, Alex (Corresponding Author); Bukvic, Anamaria; Rohat, G.; Gall, Mellanie; McCusker, Brent; Preston, Benjamin ; Apotsos, Alex; Fish, Carolyn ; Kienberger, Stefan; Muhonda, Park; Wilhelmi, Olga; Macharia, Denis; Shubert, William; Sliuzas, R.V.; Tomaszewski, Brian; Zhang, Sainan.

In: Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate change, Vol. 10, No. 5, e600, 01.09.2019.

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

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AU - De Sherbinin, Alex

AU - Bukvic, Anamaria

AU - Rohat, G.

AU - Gall, Mellanie

AU - McCusker, Brent

AU - Preston, Benjamin

AU - Apotsos, Alex

AU - Fish, Carolyn

AU - Kienberger, Stefan

AU - Muhonda, Park

AU - Wilhelmi, Olga

AU - Macharia, Denis

AU - Shubert, William

AU - Sliuzas, R.V.

AU - Tomaszewski, Brian

AU - Zhang, Sainan

N1 - Wiley deal This work was supported by the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center (SESYNC) under funding received from the National Science Foundation DBI-1639145. Lead author de Sherbinin would like to acknowledge support under NASA contract NNG13HQ04C for the continued operation of the Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC).

PY - 2019/9/1

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N2 - Maps synthesizing climate, biophysical and socioeconomic data have become part ofthe standard tool-kit for communicating the risks of climate change to society. Vulnerability maps are used to direct attention to geographic areas where impacts on society are expected to be greatest and that may therefore require adaptation interventions. Under the Green Climate Fund and other bilateral climate adaptation funding mechanisms, donors are investing billions of dollars of adaptation funds, often with guidance from modeling results, visualized and communicated through maps and spatial decision sup- port tools. This paper presents the results of a systematic review of 84 studies that map social vulnerability to climate impacts. These assessments are compiled by interdisciplin- ary teams ofresearchers, span many regions, range in scale from local to global, and vary in terms of frameworks, data, methods, and thematic foci. The goal is to identify com- mon approaches to mapping, evaluate their strengths and limitations, and offer recom- mendations and future directions for the field. The systematic review finds some convergence around common frameworks developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, frequent use of linear index aggregation, and common approaches to the selection and use of climate and socioeconomic data. Further, it identifies limitations such as a lack of future climate and socioeconomic projections in many studies, insuffi- cient characterization of uncertainty, challenges in map validation, and insufficient engagement with policy audiences for those studies that purport to be policy relevant. Finally, it provides recommendations for addressing the identified shortcomings.

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