Combining integrated river modelling and agent based social simulation for river management; The case study of the Grensmaas project

P. Valkering, Jorg Krywkow, J. Rotmans, A. van der Veen

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Abstract

In this paper we present a coupled Integrated River Model – Agent Based Social Simulation model (IRM-ABSS) for river management. The models represent the case of the ongoing river engineering project “Grensmaas”. In the ABSS model stakeholders are represented as computer agents negotiating a river management strategy. Their negotiating behaviour is derived from the so-called Theory of Reasoned Action. The Integrated River Model represents stakeholder knowledge by describing possible long-term impacts of river management options such as broadening, floodplain lowering, and dike building. The computer agents are allowed to specify values for a set of ‘uncertain parameters’ in the IRM for representing subjective stakeholder knowledge. We show how the coupled model framework can aid to assess the robustness of river management strategies, both with respect to environmental uncertainty and societal support.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationNCR-days 2003
Subtitle of host publicationDealing with floods within constraints: 6-8 November
EditorsN. Douben, A.G. van Os
Place of PublicationDelft
PublisherNetherlands Centre for River Studies
Pages30-31
Publication statusPublished - 6 Nov 2003
EventNCR-days 2003 - Resort Marina Oolderhuuske, Roermond, Netherlands
Duration: 6 Nov 20038 Nov 2003

Publication series

NameNCR publication
PublisherNetherlands Centre for River Studies
Volume24-2004
ISSN (Print)1568-234X

Conference

ConferenceNCR-days 2003
CountryNetherlands
CityRoermond
Period6/11/038/11/03

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    Valkering, P., Krywkow, J., Rotmans, J., & van der Veen, A. (2003). Combining integrated river modelling and agent based social simulation for river management; The case study of the Grensmaas project. In N. Douben, & A. G. van Os (Eds.), NCR-days 2003: Dealing with floods within constraints: 6-8 November (pp. 30-31). (NCR publication; Vol. 24-2004). Delft: Netherlands Centre for River Studies.