Explaining the Breakdown of the Religion: Vote Relationship in The Netherlands, 1971-2006

Giedo Jansen, Nan Dirk de Graaf, Ariana Need

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

This article examines the extent to which changes in the effect of religion on voting in The Netherlands since the 1970s can be explained by ‘bottom-up’ and ‘top-down’ approaches. The first includes religious integration and education. The latter category encompasses the restructuring of the party system and changes in party positions. Hypotheses are tested employing logistic and conditional logistic regression analyses of the Dutch Parliamentary Election Studies (1971–2006) supplemented by data from the Comparative Manifesto Project. Weakening religious integration largely explains the decline of political boundaries between non-religious voters and Catholics and Calvinists. In line with earlier research, the article finds that the creation of a single Christian Democratic Party (CDA) has reduced the religion–vote relationship. However, this merger effect largely disappears after taking into account party positions. Moreover, party positions influence the religion–vote association: the effect of religion on voting increases as religious parties emphasise traditional moral issues in their manifestos.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)756-783
JournalWest European politics
Volume35
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sep 2012

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voter
Netherlands
Religion
voting
Christian democratic party
religious party
logistics
election research
parliamentary election
party system
merger
restructuring
regression
education

Cite this

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Explaining the Breakdown of the Religion : Vote Relationship in The Netherlands, 1971-2006. / Jansen, Giedo; de Graaf, Nan Dirk; Need, Ariana.

In: West European politics, Vol. 35, No. 4, 01.09.2012, p. 756-783.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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