Limited waiting areas in outpatient clinics: An intervention to incorporate the effect of bridging times in blueprint schedules

Background: Distancing measures enforced by the COVID-19 pandemic impose a restriction on the number of patients simultaneously present in hospital waiting areas.

Objective: Evaluate waiting area occupancy of an intervention that designs clinic blueprint schedules, in which all appointments of the pre-COVID-19 case mix are scheduled either digitally or in person under COVID-19 distancing measures, whereby the number of in-person appointments is maximised.

Methods: Preintervention analysis and prospective assessment of intervention outcomes were used to evaluate the outcomes on waiting area occupancy and number of in-person consultations (postintervention only) using descriptive statistics, for two settings in the Rheumatology Clinic of Sint Maartenskliniek (SMK) and Medical Oncology & Haematology Outpatient Clinic of University Medical Center Utrecht (UMCU). Retrospective data from October 2019 to February 2020 were used to evaluate the pre-COVID-19 blueprint schedules. An iterative optimisation and simulation approach was followed, based on integer linear programming and Monte Carlo simulation, which iteratively optimised and evaluated blueprint schedules until the 95% CI of the number of patients in the waiting area did not exceed available capacity.

Results: Under pre-COVID-19 blueprint schedules, waiting areas would be overcrowded by up to 22 (SMK) and 11 (UMCU) patients, given the COVID-19 distancing measures. The postintervention blueprint scheduled all appointments without overcrowding the waiting areas, of which 88% and 87% were in person and 12% and 13% were digitally (SMK and UMCU, respectively).

Conclusions: The intervention was effective in two case studies with different waiting area characteristics and a varying number of interdependent patient trajectory stages. The intervention is generically applicable to a wide range of healthcare services that schedule a (series of) appointment(s) for their patients. Care providers can use the intervention to evaluate overcrowding of waiting area(s) and design optimal blueprint schedules to continue a maximum number of in-person appointments under pandemic distancing measures.