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Modeling Uncertainty: From Simulink to Stochastic Hybrid Automata

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Abstract

Simulink is widely used in industrial design processes to model increasingly complex embedded control systems. Thus, their formal analysis is highly desirable. However, this comes with two major challenges: First, Simulink models often provide an idealized view of real-life systems and omit uncertainties such as, aging, sensor noise or failures. Second, the semantics of Simulink is only informally defined. In this paper, we present an approach to formally analyze safety and performance of embedded control systems modeled in Simulink in the presence of uncertainty. To achieve this, we 1) model different types of uncertainties as stochastic Simulink subsystems and 2) extend an existing formalization of the Simulink semantics based on stochastic hybrid automata (SHA) by providing transformation rules for the stochastic subsystems. Our approach gives us access to established quantitative analysis techniques, like statistical model checking and reachability analysis. We demonstrate the applicability of our approach by analyzing safety and performance in the presence of uncertainty for two smaller case studies.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationQuantitative Evaluation of Systems and Formal Modeling and Analysis of Timed Systems
Subtitle of host publicationSecond International Joint Conference, QEST+FORMATS 2025, Proceedings
EditorsPavithra Prabhakar, Andrea Vandin
Place of PublicationCham
PublisherSpringer
Pages389-408
Number of pages20
Edition1
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-032-05792-1
ISBN (Print)978-3-032-05791-4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2026
Event2nd International Joint Conference on Quantitative Evaluation of Systems and Formal Modeling and Analysis of Timed Systems, QEST+FORMATS 2025 - Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark
Duration: 26 Aug 202528 Aug 2025
Conference number: 2
https://www.qest.org/qest-formats-2025/

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science
PublisherSpringer
Volume16143 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference2nd International Joint Conference on Quantitative Evaluation of Systems and Formal Modeling and Analysis of Timed Systems, QEST+FORMATS 2025
Abbreviated titleQEST+FORMATS 2025
Country/TerritoryDenmark
CityAarhus
Period26/08/2528/08/25
OtherQEST - International Conference on Quantitative Evaluation of SysTems;
FORMATS - International Conference on Formal Modeling and Analysis of Timed Systems.
Internet address

Keywords

  • 2026 OA procedure
  • Stochastic Hybrid Automata
  • Uncertainty
  • Simulink

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