Modelling land-use change in a decision support system for coastal-zone management

Jean-Luc de Kok, Guy Engelen, Roger White, H.G. Wind

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52 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

RaMCo is a prototype version of a decision-support system for coastal-zone management. The model is based on the findings of a multidisiciplinary research program, conducted in Southwest Sulawesi, Indonesia. Different management strategies can be compared on the basis of the short- and long-term consequences. Land-use change has been included in RaMCo in view of the impacts of land-based human activities on the marine environment. The key aspect of the model is a combination of the temporal dynamics of land-use change on the regional (macro-level) scale and spatial dynamics on the local (micro-level) scale. Constrained cellular automata are used to integrate both scale levels. The state changes of the cells depend on the consistency with the macro-scale model, local geographical conditions, and interaction with neighboring cells. In this paper, we discuss the underlying theoretical assumptions of the macro-scale and micro-scale models, some characteristic results for land-use change in the study area, and the validation problem.
Original languageUndefined
Pages (from-to)123-132
Number of pages10
JournalEnvironmental modeling and assessment
Volume6
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2001

Keywords

  • Coastal-zone management
  • Cellular automata
  • Southwest Sulawesi
  • Rapid assessment
  • Land-use change
  • Decision-support system

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