Modelling the heat transition

Muhammad Ahsan; Leander van der Bijl; Shreehari Bodas; Fabio Buccoliero; Yanfei Chen; Joaquim M. C.  Correia; Tsega Khasay Gebretekle; Leila Hashemi; Joris van der Hijden; Francesca Leonardi; Gabriel Lord; Juan E. Machado Martinez; Zhirui Tang; Leoni Winschermann; Jialing Yu

Modelling the heat transition

Muhammad Ahsan, Leander van der Bijl, Shreehari Bodas, Fabio Buccoliero, Yanfei Chen, Joaquim M. C. Correia, Tsega Khasay Gebretekle, Leila Hashemi, Joris van der Hijden, Francesca Leonardi, Gabriel Lord, Juan E. Machado Martinez, Zhirui Tang, Leoni Winschermann, Jialing Yu

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › Academic

Abstract

The Dutch government is committed to reducing its dependence on fuel imports and promoting sustainable practices, which has led to plans to move away from
gas-powered heating systems towards alternative heat sources such as district heating or electric heat pumps. In this heat transition, DHM provides advice and leadership for investment decisions, particularly at the municipal level. Key considerations include the transition costs, choice of heat commodity, and necessary infrastructure.
This project explores three decision-making models that aim to minimize social costs in an objective manner: Monte Carlo simulations, energy hubs, and mathematical programs. The results of this study can be used as a starting point for further research to support a sustainable and cost-effective heat transition.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Scientific Proceedings of the Study Group Mathematics with Industry SWI 2023
Editors	Julian Koellermeier, Pieter Tibboel, Stephan Trenn
Publisher	Studiegroep Wiskunde met de Industrie
Chapter	3
Pages	37 - 92
Number of pages	56
Publication status	Published - 2023
Event	SWI 2023 - Academy Building University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands Duration: 30 Jan 2023 → 3 Feb 2023

Conference

Conference	SWI 2023
Abbreviated title	SWI 2023
Country/Territory	Netherlands
City	Groningen
Period	30/01/23 → 3/02/23

Keywords

heat transition
cost minimization
Monte Carlo methods
energy hubs
mixed integer program

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

https://www.swi-wiskunde.nl/swi2023/wp-content/uploads/sites/28/2023/11/SWI_2023_ScientificProceedings.pdf

Cite this

Ahsan, M., van der Bijl, L., Bodas, S., Buccoliero, F., Chen, Y., Correia, J. M. C., Gebretekle, T. K., Hashemi, L., van der Hijden, J., Leonardi, F., Lord, G., Machado Martinez, J. E., Tang, Z., Winschermann, L., & Yu, J. (2023). Modelling the heat transition. In J. Koellermeier, P. Tibboel, & S. Trenn (Eds.), Scientific Proceedings of the Study Group Mathematics with Industry SWI 2023 (pp. 37 - 92). Studiegroep Wiskunde met de Industrie. https://www.swi-wiskunde.nl/swi2023/wp-content/uploads/sites/28/2023/11/SWI_2023_ScientificProceedings.pdf

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title = "Modelling the heat transition",

abstract = "The Dutch government is committed to reducing its dependence on fuel imports and promoting sustainable practices, which has led to plans to move away fromgas-powered heating systems towards alternative heat sources such as district heating or electric heat pumps. In this heat transition, DHM provides advice and leadership for investment decisions, particularly at the municipal level. Key considerations include the transition costs, choice of heat commodity, and necessary infrastructure.This project explores three decision-making models that aim to minimize social costs in an objective manner: Monte Carlo simulations, energy hubs, and mathematical programs. The results of this study can be used as a starting point for further research to support a sustainable and cost-effective heat transition.",

keywords = "heat transition, cost minimization, Monte Carlo methods, energy hubs, mixed integer program",

author = "Muhammad Ahsan and {van der Bijl}, Leander and Shreehari Bodas and Fabio Buccoliero and Yanfei Chen and Correia, {Joaquim M. C.} and Gebretekle, {Tsega Khasay} and Leila Hashemi and {van der Hijden}, Joris and Francesca Leonardi and Gabriel Lord and {Machado Martinez}, {Juan E.} and Zhirui Tang and Leoni Winschermann and Jialing Yu",

year = "2023",

language = "English",

pages = "37 -- 92",

editor = "Julian Koellermeier and Pieter Tibboel and Stephan Trenn",

booktitle = "Scientific Proceedings of the Study Group Mathematics with Industry SWI 2023",

publisher = "Studiegroep Wiskunde met de Industrie",

note = "SWI 2023, SWI 2023 ; Conference date: 30-01-2023 Through 03-02-2023",

}

Ahsan, M, van der Bijl, L, Bodas, S, Buccoliero, F, Chen, Y, Correia, JMC, Gebretekle, TK, Hashemi, L, van der Hijden, J, Leonardi, F, Lord, G, Machado Martinez, JE, Tang, Z, Winschermann, L & Yu, J 2023, Modelling the heat transition. in J Koellermeier, P Tibboel & S Trenn (eds), Scientific Proceedings of the Study Group Mathematics with Industry SWI 2023. Studiegroep Wiskunde met de Industrie, pp. 37 - 92, SWI 2023, Groningen, Netherlands, 30/01/23. <https://www.swi-wiskunde.nl/swi2023/wp-content/uploads/sites/28/2023/11/SWI_2023_ScientificProceedings.pdf>

Modelling the heat transition. / Ahsan, Muhammad; van der Bijl, Leander; Bodas, Shreehari et al.
Scientific Proceedings of the Study Group Mathematics with Industry SWI 2023. ed. / Julian Koellermeier; Pieter Tibboel; Stephan Trenn. Studiegroep Wiskunde met de Industrie, 2023. p. 37 - 92.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › Academic

TY - CHAP

T1 - Modelling the heat transition

AU - Ahsan, Muhammad

AU - van der Bijl, Leander

AU - Bodas, Shreehari

AU - Buccoliero, Fabio

AU - Chen, Yanfei

AU - Correia, Joaquim M. C.

AU - Gebretekle, Tsega Khasay

AU - Hashemi, Leila

AU - van der Hijden, Joris

AU - Leonardi, Francesca

AU - Lord, Gabriel

AU - Machado Martinez, Juan E.

AU - Tang, Zhirui

AU - Winschermann, Leoni

AU - Yu, Jialing

PY - 2023

Y1 - 2023

N2 - The Dutch government is committed to reducing its dependence on fuel imports and promoting sustainable practices, which has led to plans to move away fromgas-powered heating systems towards alternative heat sources such as district heating or electric heat pumps. In this heat transition, DHM provides advice and leadership for investment decisions, particularly at the municipal level. Key considerations include the transition costs, choice of heat commodity, and necessary infrastructure.This project explores three decision-making models that aim to minimize social costs in an objective manner: Monte Carlo simulations, energy hubs, and mathematical programs. The results of this study can be used as a starting point for further research to support a sustainable and cost-effective heat transition.

AB - The Dutch government is committed to reducing its dependence on fuel imports and promoting sustainable practices, which has led to plans to move away fromgas-powered heating systems towards alternative heat sources such as district heating or electric heat pumps. In this heat transition, DHM provides advice and leadership for investment decisions, particularly at the municipal level. Key considerations include the transition costs, choice of heat commodity, and necessary infrastructure.This project explores three decision-making models that aim to minimize social costs in an objective manner: Monte Carlo simulations, energy hubs, and mathematical programs. The results of this study can be used as a starting point for further research to support a sustainable and cost-effective heat transition.

KW - heat transition

KW - cost minimization

KW - Monte Carlo methods

KW - energy hubs

KW - mixed integer program

M3 - Chapter

SP - 37

EP - 92

BT - Scientific Proceedings of the Study Group Mathematics with Industry SWI 2023

A2 - Koellermeier, Julian

A2 - Tibboel, Pieter

A2 - Trenn, Stephan

PB - Studiegroep Wiskunde met de Industrie

T2 - SWI 2023

Y2 - 30 January 2023 through 3 February 2023

ER -

Modelling the heat transition

Abstract

Conference

Keywords

UN SDGs

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Cite this