New pathways and the associated uncertainties for increasing maize water use efficiency under global warming

Mahdi Kalanaki*, Fatemeh Karandish, Henk Ritzema, Moosa Kalanaki

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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The DSSAT4.7-CERES model was employed to simulate plant-water nexus conditions in the future of Mazandaran province in Iran, using ensemble outputs of various GCMs and emission scenarios with LARS-WG 5.5 in the time period 2010–2100. The results showed during the 21st century, maize water requirement is expected to be reduced by 3.3–14.1%. Under climate change scenarios, both negative and positive changes in crop yield are projected, between −37.4 and 36.1%, which consequently results in a 5.1–27.2% reduction in water use efficiency (WUE) in the future periods. Deficit irrigation (DI) with 25% reduction in irrigation water depth (DI75) lead to a moderate reduction of 4.3–5.5% in WUE, but WUE was highly reduced under DI55. While early planting may reduce WUEs by 0.4–17%, late planting almost resulted in improved WUE, especially under DI75. Less frequent irrigation significantly reduces actual evapotranspiration, which consequently resulted in improved WUE by 0.57– 42.47%. In conclusion, the integrated assessment reveals that DI75, with an irrigation interval of 5 days, together with a 20 days delay in cropping date of maize in Mazandaran province, may be considered as an effective adaptation solution, when considering both food and water security.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)956-970
Number of pages15
JournalArchives of Agronomy and Soil Science
Issue number7
Early online date28 Dec 2020
Publication statusPublished - 7 Jun 2022
Externally publishedYes


  • Deficit irrigation
  • Irrigation intervals
  • Maize
  • Planting date
  • UT-Hybrid-D
  • 22/2 OA procedure


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