Pitfalls of forecasting. Fundamental problems for the methodology of forecasting from the philosophy of science

F. A. van Vught

doi:10.1016/0016-3287(87)90050-4

Pitfalls of forecasting. Fundamental problems for the methodology of forecasting from the philosophy of science

F. A. van Vught^*

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

24 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This article examines forecasting pitfalls through a consideration of problems raised in the philosophy of science. It is argued that recognition of these pitfalls will serve as a first step towards developing forecasting as a fully fledged scientific discipline.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	184-196
Number of pages	13
Journal	Futures
Volume	19
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/0016-3287(87)90050-4
Publication status	Published - Apr 1987
Externally published	Yes

Keywords

forecasting
future studies
philosophy of science

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10.1016/0016-3287(87)90050-4

Cite this

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title = "Pitfalls of forecasting. Fundamental problems for the methodology of forecasting from the philosophy of science",

abstract = "This article examines forecasting pitfalls through a consideration of problems raised in the philosophy of science. It is argued that recognition of these pitfalls will serve as a first step towards developing forecasting as a fully fledged scientific discipline.",

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KW - future studies

KW - philosophy of science

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DO - 10.1016/0016-3287(87)90050-4

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JO - Futures

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SN - 0016-3287

IS - 2

ER -

Pitfalls of forecasting. Fundamental problems for the methodology of forecasting from the philosophy of science

Abstract

Keywords

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