Scenarios for the Dutch gas distribution infrastructure in 2050

Teade Weidenaar, E. Bekkering, R. van Eekelen

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In the Netherlands 98 percent of the households are connected to the gas grid. Th is grid, aging, will need investments. What are its system requirements in the future? No consensus exists on that question. Th erefore, it is diffi cult to determine what to invest in. To help solve this problem, we have developed four scenarios for the Dutch gas distribution infrastructure in 2050. A structured scenario development process was used taking a number of existing scenarios as a starting point. Th e key forces that form the basis of our scenarios are the willingness and ability to reduce green-house gases and the perceived resource scarcity. Next to these, we have included forces that shape the scenarios, namely projected energy demand, available sources of supply, technological developments and institutional developments. Th e energy demand and the available sources of energy were quantifi ed for each scenario. We have determined what the impact will be on the geographical scope of the grid, the type and mix of gases that are transported, and the function of the distribution grid in the larger energy system. We argue that these scenarios may help in dealing with the investment dilemma. Th ey can be used to detail the possible functions of the gas distribution system in the Netherlands in 2050.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationGroningen
PublisherEnergy Delta Gas Research
Number of pages31
Publication statusPublished - 2012

Publication series

NameEnergy Delta Gas Research, Working Paper
PublisherEnergy Delta Gas Research


  • IR-80919
  • METIS-287175


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