TY - JOUR
T1 - Seeking for a climate change mitigation and adaptation nexus
T2 - Analysis of a long-term power system expansion
AU - Handayani, Kamia
AU - Filatova, Tatiana
AU - Krozer, Yoram
AU - Anugrah, Pinto
N1 - Funding Information:
We gratefully acknowledge the financial support provided by the Indonesian Endowment Fund for Education (LPDP) under the Grant number PRJ-2570/LPDP/2015 . Furthermore, we would like to express our gratitude to PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara, PT Pembangkitan Jawa Bali, and PT Indonesia Power, the World Bank Climate Knowledge Portal, and the Asia-Pacific Data Research Center for providing data for our modeling assumptions. We also extend our appreciation to the Stockholm Environmental Institute for their support regarding the LEAP software. Appendix A
Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 The Authors
PY - 2020
Y1 - 2020
N2 - Reductions in carbon emissions have been a focus of the power sector. However, the sector itself is vulnerable to the impacts of global warming. Extreme weather events and gradual changes in climate variables can affect the reliability, cost, and environmental impacts of the energy supply. This paper analyzed the interplay between CO2 mitigation attempts and adaptations to climate change in the power sector using the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning System (LEAP) model. This paper presented a novel methodology to integrate both CO2 mitigation goals and the impacts of climate change into simulations of a power system expansion. The impacts on electricity supply and demand were quantified, based on historical climate-related impacts revealed during fieldwork and existing literature. The quantified effects, together with climate mitigation targets, were then integrated into the LEAP modeling architecture. The results showed a substantial alteration in technology composition and an increase in installed capacities driven by the joint climate mitigation–adaptation efforts when compared with the scenario without mitigation and adaptation (reference). Furthermore, an increase in CO2 emissions was observed under the mitigation-adaptation scenario compared with the mitigation only scenario, indicating that the power sector’s adaptations for climate change are likely to hinder CO2 mitigation efforts. Therefore, a nexus between mitigation and adaptation should be exploited in the policy development for a low-carbon and climate-resilient power system.
AB - Reductions in carbon emissions have been a focus of the power sector. However, the sector itself is vulnerable to the impacts of global warming. Extreme weather events and gradual changes in climate variables can affect the reliability, cost, and environmental impacts of the energy supply. This paper analyzed the interplay between CO2 mitigation attempts and adaptations to climate change in the power sector using the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning System (LEAP) model. This paper presented a novel methodology to integrate both CO2 mitigation goals and the impacts of climate change into simulations of a power system expansion. The impacts on electricity supply and demand were quantified, based on historical climate-related impacts revealed during fieldwork and existing literature. The quantified effects, together with climate mitigation targets, were then integrated into the LEAP modeling architecture. The results showed a substantial alteration in technology composition and an increase in installed capacities driven by the joint climate mitigation–adaptation efforts when compared with the scenario without mitigation and adaptation (reference). Furthermore, an increase in CO2 emissions was observed under the mitigation-adaptation scenario compared with the mitigation only scenario, indicating that the power sector’s adaptations for climate change are likely to hinder CO2 mitigation efforts. Therefore, a nexus between mitigation and adaptation should be exploited in the policy development for a low-carbon and climate-resilient power system.
KW - Climate change adaptation
KW - Climate change mitigation
KW - Energy sector
KW - LEAP
KW - Paris Agreement
KW - Power sector
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85077933156&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114485
DO - 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114485
M3 - Article
VL - 262
JO - Applied energy
JF - Applied energy
SN - 0306-2619
M1 - 114485
ER -