TY - JOUR
T1 - Selecting among five common modelling approaches for integrated environmental assessment and management
AU - Kelly, Rebecca A.
AU - Jakeman, Anthony J.
AU - Barreteau, Olivier
AU - Borsuk, Mark E.
AU - El-Sawah, Sondoss
AU - Hamilton, Serena H.
AU - Henriksen, Hans Jorgen
AU - Kuikka, Sakari
AU - Maier, Holger R.
AU - Rizzoli, Andrea Emilio
AU - van Delden, Hedwig
AU - Voinov, Alexey A.
PY - 2013
Y1 - 2013
N2 - The design and implementation of effective environmental policies need to be informed by a holistic understanding of the system processes (biophysical, social and economic), their complex interactions, and how they respond to various changes. Models, integrating different system processes into a unified framework, are seen as useful tools to help analyse alternatives with stakeholders, assess their outcomes, and communicate results in a transparent way. This paper reviews five common approaches or model types that have the capacity to integrate knowledge by developing models that can accommodate multiple issues, values, scales and uncertainty considerations, as well as facilitate stakeholder engagement. The approaches considered are: systems dynamics, Bayesian networks, coupled component models, agent-based models and knowledge-based models (also referred to as expert systems). We start by discussing several considerations in model development, such as the purpose of model building, the availability of qualitative versus quantitative data for model specification, the level of spatio-temporal detail required, and treatment of uncertainty. These considerations and a review of applications are then used to develop a framework that aims to assist modellers and model users in the choice of an appropriate modelling approach for their integrated assessment applications and that enables more effective learning in interdisciplinary settings.
AB - The design and implementation of effective environmental policies need to be informed by a holistic understanding of the system processes (biophysical, social and economic), their complex interactions, and how they respond to various changes. Models, integrating different system processes into a unified framework, are seen as useful tools to help analyse alternatives with stakeholders, assess their outcomes, and communicate results in a transparent way. This paper reviews five common approaches or model types that have the capacity to integrate knowledge by developing models that can accommodate multiple issues, values, scales and uncertainty considerations, as well as facilitate stakeholder engagement. The approaches considered are: systems dynamics, Bayesian networks, coupled component models, agent-based models and knowledge-based models (also referred to as expert systems). We start by discussing several considerations in model development, such as the purpose of model building, the availability of qualitative versus quantitative data for model specification, the level of spatio-temporal detail required, and treatment of uncertainty. These considerations and a review of applications are then used to develop a framework that aims to assist modellers and model users in the choice of an appropriate modelling approach for their integrated assessment applications and that enables more effective learning in interdisciplinary settings.
KW - ITC-ISI-JOURNAL-ARTICLE
KW - 2023 OA procedure
UR - https://ezproxy2.utwente.nl/login?url=http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.05.005
UR - https://ezproxy2.utwente.nl/login?url=https://webapps.itc.utwente.nl/library/2013/isi/voinov_sel.pdf
U2 - 10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.05.005
DO - 10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.05.005
M3 - Article
SN - 1364-8152
VL - 47
SP - 159
EP - 181
JO - Environmental modelling & software
JF - Environmental modelling & software
ER -