@article{e4b65636457a497fab82458a6ce0fd2b,
title = "Stochastic methods for safety assessment of the flood defense system in the Scheldt Estuary of the Netherlands",
abstract = "In this study, we address the effective method to apply a novel reliability method integrated with finite element models to the safety assessment of pilot site Scheldt in the Netherlands. This site was considered as one of the three main pilot sites in Europe to assess the application of newly suggested techniques in order to reduce and manage the flood risk in the Floodsite project. http://www.floodsite.net, 2004-2009). The novel method of dynamic bounds (DB) is applied to this site after a successful experience in (Rajabalinejad in Reliability methods for finite element models, 1 edn. IOS Press, Amsterdam, 2009). In this study, the bi-functional response of the finite element model is considered, and the dimensional uncertainty is defined presenting the expected uncertainty for a certain dimension in the DB method. The uncertainty is used as a judgment tool to choose the dimension for the DB method for the desired accuracy. The results obtained by applying this technique are presented in this paper.",
keywords = "Dynamic bounds, Flood defense, Monotonic, Monte Carlo, Reliability, n/a OA procedure",
author = "Mohammadreza Rajabalinejad and Tewfik Mahdi and {van Gelder}, Pieter",
note = "Funding Information: different type of flood defense structures all over the world. An example of failure of the flood defense system happened in New Orleans during Hurricane Katrina (Link et al. 2006; USACE-b 2006; Demirbilek et al. 2010). This city was protected by a system of levees, flood walls and barriers. The New Orleans flood protection system is a typical example that shows a flood defense system behaves like a serial system, and that all of its elements must be reliable and not fail in order for the overall system to meet its requirements. In other words, the operational reliability of each element of a flood defense system should be accurately assessed by utmost consideration of the consequences of any component failure in the system. Therefore, more resilient flood defenses will be required in the future to meet these demands and potential failures of systems caused by episodic extreme metocean events (meteorological and atmospheric). This realization has prompted many research studies to investigate accurate safety requirements for the flood defenses. The European Union{\textquoteright}s FloodSite project is an example of this high-priority research and an evidence of a collective attempt of 37 leading European institutes to reduce the risk of flooding in the homelands. This project was supported by the Parliament and Council of the European Union to address a new European guidelines for assessment and management of flood risks. It commenced in 2004 and runs to 2009. This integrated project covers the physical, environmental, ecological and socio-economic aspects of floods from rivers, estuaries and the sea. Key issues that are addressed in this project are hazard sources and consequences of flooding on people, property and the environment.",
year = "2010",
doi = "10.1007/s11069-010-9563-0",
language = "English",
volume = "55",
pages = "123--144",
journal = "Natural hazards",
issn = "0921-030X",
publisher = "Springer Science and Business Media B.V.",
number = "1",
}
