Testing for Change in Long-Memory Stochastic Volatility Time Series

A. Betken, R. Kulik

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

In this article, change-point problems for long-memory stochastic volatility (LMSV) models are considered. A general testing problem which includes various alternative hypotheses is discussed. Under the hypothesis of stationarity the limiting behavior of CUSUM- and Wilcoxon-type test statistics is derived. In this context, a limit theorem for the two-parameter empirical process of LMSV time series is proved. In particular, it is shown that the asymptotic distribution of CUSUM test statistics may not be affected by long memory, unlike Wilcoxon test statistics which are typically influenced by long-range dependence. To avoid the estimation of nuisance parameters in applications, the usage of self-normalized test statistics is proposed. The theoretical results are accompanied by an analysis of Standard & Poor's 500 daily closing indices with respect to structural changes and by simulation studies which characterize the finite sample behavior of the considered testing procedures when testing for changes in mean and in variance.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)707-738
JournalJournal of Time Series Analysis
Volume40
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sep 2019
Externally publishedYes

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