The irrational Dutch voter: On causal heterogeneity in basis of evaluation

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Abstract

Elections in the Netherlands have transformed from the dullest in the world in the 1950s to the most volatile in recent decades. In light of this, the question arises what factors account for the increased volatility of the Dutch electorate. This paper examines one possible answer: voters have changed the basis upon which they evaluate the competing parties. Findings indicate that this is indeed the case, although it appears not to be the whole story. Furthermore, the findings indicate that the basis of evaluation varies across parties. This has important implications for modelling vote choice. More specifically, the findings imply that the use of spatial models, which are arguably the most popular theoretical framework of electoral researchers, is highly problematic.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages23
Publication statusPublished - 13 Jun 2008
EventWorkshop "The Politics of Change: How Parties, Elections and
Voters Adjust to Changing Political Environments" 2008
- Amsterdam, Netherlands
Duration: 13 Jun 200814 Jun 2008

Workshop

WorkshopWorkshop "The Politics of Change: How Parties, Elections and
Voters Adjust to Changing Political Environments" 2008
CountryNetherlands
CityAmsterdam
Period13/06/0814/06/08

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Rosema, M. (2008). The irrational Dutch voter: On causal heterogeneity in basis of evaluation. Paper presented at Workshop "The Politics of Change: How Parties, Elections and
Voters Adjust to Changing Political Environments" 2008, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Rosema, Martin. / The irrational Dutch voter: On causal heterogeneity in basis of evaluation. Paper presented at Workshop "The Politics of Change: How Parties, Elections and
Voters Adjust to Changing Political Environments" 2008, Amsterdam, Netherlands.23 p.
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Rosema, M 2008, 'The irrational Dutch voter: On causal heterogeneity in basis of evaluation' Paper presented at Workshop "The Politics of Change: How Parties, Elections and
Voters Adjust to Changing Political Environments" 2008, Amsterdam, Netherlands, 13/06/08 - 14/06/08, .

The irrational Dutch voter: On causal heterogeneity in basis of evaluation. / Rosema, Martin.

2008. Paper presented at Workshop "The Politics of Change: How Parties, Elections and
Voters Adjust to Changing Political Environments" 2008, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

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N2 - Elections in the Netherlands have transformed from the dullest in the world in the 1950s to the most volatile in recent decades. In light of this, the question arises what factors account for the increased volatility of the Dutch electorate. This paper examines one possible answer: voters have changed the basis upon which they evaluate the competing parties. Findings indicate that this is indeed the case, although it appears not to be the whole story. Furthermore, the findings indicate that the basis of evaluation varies across parties. This has important implications for modelling vote choice. More specifically, the findings imply that the use of spatial models, which are arguably the most popular theoretical framework of electoral researchers, is highly problematic.

AB - Elections in the Netherlands have transformed from the dullest in the world in the 1950s to the most volatile in recent decades. In light of this, the question arises what factors account for the increased volatility of the Dutch electorate. This paper examines one possible answer: voters have changed the basis upon which they evaluate the competing parties. Findings indicate that this is indeed the case, although it appears not to be the whole story. Furthermore, the findings indicate that the basis of evaluation varies across parties. This has important implications for modelling vote choice. More specifically, the findings imply that the use of spatial models, which are arguably the most popular theoretical framework of electoral researchers, is highly problematic.

M3 - Paper

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Rosema M. The irrational Dutch voter: On causal heterogeneity in basis of evaluation. 2008. Paper presented at Workshop "The Politics of Change: How Parties, Elections and
Voters Adjust to Changing Political Environments" 2008, Amsterdam, Netherlands.