Tracing Macroeconomic Impacts of Individual Behavioral Changes through Model Integration

Leila Niamir (Corresponding Author), Olga Ivanova (Corresponding Author), Tatiana Filatova (Corresponding Author), Alexey Arkady Voinov (Corresponding Author)

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

The discourse on climate change stresses the importance of individual behavioral changes and shifts in social norms to assist both climate mitigation efforts worldwide. A design of an effective and efficient climate policy calls for decision support tools that are able to quantify cumulative impacts of individual behaviour and can integrate bottom-up processes into the traditional decision support tools. We propose an integrated system of models that combines strengths of macro and micro approaches to trace the cross-scale feedbacks in socio-economic processes in residential energy markets at provincial and national scales. This paper explores the feasibility of such hybrid models to study dynamic effects of climate change mitigation policy measures targeted at changes in residential energy use practices. We present an example of an agent-based energy model (BENCH) integrated with a EU-EMS computable general equilibrium model. We discusses methodological advancements and open challenges with respect to the integrated system of models.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)96-101
Number of pages6
JournalIFAC-papersonline
Volume51
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2018

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Climate change
Macros
Feedback
Economics

Keywords

  • Agent-based modeling
  • Computable general equilibrium model
  • Energy economics
  • Climate Change Mitigation
  • Behavioural change
  • Structural equation modeling
  • Energy efficiency
  • Integrated assessment models
  • Microeconomic choices
  • Climate change mitigation
  • Latent analysis
  • Abonnement

Cite this

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title = "Tracing Macroeconomic Impacts of Individual Behavioral Changes through Model Integration",
abstract = "The discourse on climate change stresses the importance of individual behavioral changes and shifts in social norms to assist both climate mitigation efforts worldwide. A design of an effective and efficient climate policy calls for decision support tools that are able to quantify cumulative impacts of individual behaviour and can integrate bottom-up processes into the traditional decision support tools. We propose an integrated system of models that combines strengths of macro and micro approaches to trace the cross-scale feedbacks in socio-economic processes in residential energy markets at provincial and national scales. This paper explores the feasibility of such hybrid models to study dynamic effects of climate change mitigation policy measures targeted at changes in residential energy use practices. We present an example of an agent-based energy model (BENCH) integrated with a EU-EMS computable general equilibrium model. We discusses methodological advancements and open challenges with respect to the integrated system of models.",
keywords = "Agent-based modeling, Computable general equilibrium model, Energy economics, Climate Change Mitigation, Behavioural change, Structural equation modeling, Energy efficiency, Integrated assessment models, Microeconomic choices, Climate change mitigation, Latent analysis, Abonnement",
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year = "2018",
doi = "10.1016/j.ifacol.2018.06.217",
language = "English",
volume = "51",
pages = "96--101",
journal = "IFAC-papersonline",
issn = "2405-8963",
publisher = "IFAC Secretariat",
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}

Tracing Macroeconomic Impacts of Individual Behavioral Changes through Model Integration. / Niamir, Leila (Corresponding Author); Ivanova, Olga (Corresponding Author); Filatova, Tatiana (Corresponding Author); Voinov, Alexey Arkady (Corresponding Author).

In: IFAC-papersonline, Vol. 51, No. 5, 2018, p. 96-101.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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KW - Integrated assessment models

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KW - Climate change mitigation

KW - Latent analysis

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